After EVOS crushed RRQ 2-0 in the Derby Classic on April 18, the mobile esports scene in Indonesia has one question on loop: can RRQ Hoshi actually come back? The rematch is already on the books for May 9, and if you care about MPL Indonesia Season 17, this is the match you circle. Let me break down where both teams stand, what the current MPL ID week standings say, and why this EVOS vs RRQ prediction isn’t as obvious as it looks on paper.

What Happened in Derby Classic 38

Leg 1 of the Derby Classic wasn’t close on the scoreboard, but it was close in the games. RRQ actually opened both maps with momentum. They took early kills, grabbed turtle, and had SuperKenn, SuperDann, and Yehezkiel cooking early. Then EVOS did what EVOS does when they find their groove: steal a Lord, reset tempo, and punish every RRQ mistake in the mid-to-late game.

Key takeaways from that series:

  • EVOS won a critical Lord duel in Game 1 that flipped the entire tempo
  • Erlan on Moskov was the MVP-caliber performer in Game 2
  • RRQ led early in both games but couldn’t close out
  • Final score: EVOS 2-0 RRQ, pushing RRQ to 0-6 at that point and rock bottom of the table

That’s the context you need to understand where we are now.

Current MPL ID Week Standings Snapshot

As of the end of Week 4 (after the April 19 slate), here’s how the table shakes out. Numbers matter here, so pay attention.

RankTeamMatch RecordStatus
1ONIC5-1Top seed favorite
2EVOS4-2Climbing fast
3Team Liquid ID4-2Real title contender
4Bigetron by Vitality3-3Trending up hard
5Alter Ego4 match pointsBubble team
6Dewa UnitedMid-tablePlayoff pace
7Geek Fam3-match win streak earlierDark horse
8NAVIEarly hype, fadedMust-win mode
9RRQ Hoshi0-7Crisis mode

Yeah, RRQ is dead last at 0-7 after dropping a 1-2 series to Bigetron on April 19. Seven matches, zero wins. The king is not wearing the crown this season.

Why RRQ Is Struggling 🩸

Let’s be practical. RRQ rebuilt their roster with high-profile additions this offseason, though many fans felt the team had not gone “all-in” like in previous years. They imported SuperDann, a Filipino EXP laner promoted from the RRQ Kaito pipeline to replace Dyrennn. They added SuperKenn, a Jungler from DianFengYaoGuai in China. They brought in Yehezkiel and Kuroky, kept Rinz and Idok as the core, and rebuilt around a cross-regional formula. On paper, this lineup should at least be mid-table.

The issue is execution, not talent. Three concrete problems:

  1. Shot-calling in mid game. RRQ consistently builds leads, then loses control around the 10-minute mark when objectives stack up.
  2. Draft identity. Their picks feel reactive, not proactive. They’re drafting to counter, not to dictate.
  3. Lord fights. They’ve lost the critical Lord in multiple series this season. You don’t win MPL ID matches without winning Lords.

If my time in the pro scene taught me anything, it’s that these are fixable problems, but the clock is ticking. With three weeks of regular season left, RRQ needs roughly five wins out of their last seven matches just to sniff playoffs.

Why EVOS Is on the Rise 🐅

EVOS also had a rocky start. They opened the season strong with a clean 2-0 win over Geek Fam, then dropped their Week 1 Day 3 clash to Team Liquid ID 0-2 and lost 2-1 to Alter Ego in Week 2. Then something clicked. The addition of Luke on EXP Lane (on loan from Bigetron by Vitality) stabilized their side lane pressure, and the midlane rotation between Treaky and Pheww (on loan from Team Falcons PH) gave them a second gear they didn’t have before.

What changed:

  • Cleaner early-game rotations from Alberttt
  • Alberttt returned to form, and Pheww began to settle into the new team
  • Erlan unlocked on high-mechanical carries like Moskov and gold lane assassins
  • EVOS is finally winning neutral objective fights, not just lane

They’re now 2nd in the standings at 4-2 and genuinely look like a team that can push ONIC for the top spot if this form holds.

EVOS vs RRQ Prediction for May 9

Here’s the honest read. The rematch is Week 7. By that point, both teams will have played 4 more matches each. A lot can change, but the structural picture is clear.

Case for EVOS winning again:

  • Momentum. Winners keep winning in MPL.
  • Better macro coordination right now.
  • Psychological edge after the 2-0 in Leg 1.
  • RRQ’s draft issues haven’t been solved publicly.

Case for RRQ pulling the upset:

  • SuperKenn is a monster jungler. You only need one game where he gets his comfort pool and he takes over.
  • Pride. RRQ players do not want 0-2 on the season against one of their fiercest rivals.
  • Coaching adjustments. Expect a completely different approach in the draft phase.
  • Desperation. At that point, RRQ might literally be mathematically eliminated without a win.

My call: EVOS 2-1. I’d bet on EVOS’s current form, but I think RRQ takes at least one game. A desperate RRQ on the right map with SuperKenn popping off is legitimately scary. If RRQ enters the series at 1-9 or worse on the season, throw that prediction out though. Totally locked-in, nothing-to-lose RRQ is the most dangerous version of RRQ there is.

What to Watch in the Next Two Weeks

Before the rematch lands, you should track:

  • EVOS vs ONIC on April 24 (Friday). If EVOS takes a game off ONIC, they’re legit top 2.
  • RRQ vs Dewa United on April 25. Must-win for RRQ to keep playoff math alive.
  • ONIC vs RRQ on May 3. RRQ’s last big test before the rematch.

If RRQ walks into May 9 at 0-10, this preview becomes a wake. If they steal 2 or 3 wins before then, we have a real series on our hands.

TL;DR

MPL Indonesia Season 17 has delivered one of the most surprising storylines in MPL history: RRQ at the bottom of the table at 0-7, EVOS climbing to 2nd place after a rocky start. The rematch on May 9 at 17:15 WIB is going to be the biggest ratings draw of the back half of regular season, no matter what the current MPL ID week standings look like on that day.

My EVOS vs RRQ prediction: EVOS takes it, but RRQ finally gets on the board with at least one map win. Book your calendar. This is the one you do not miss.